Live data · API-Football · Season 2026/27 · fetched 26 Oct, 22:19
Aston Villa v Fulhamprediction & betting tips
Saturday 31 October at 20:00, Villa Park
Kick-off
Aston Villa
FulhamOur verdict
Aston Villa win
Most likely score 1–0
36%
probability
Prediction & betting tips
- Aston Villa are 36% favourites in our model, creating an expected 1.0 goals to 1.0.
- Aston Villa arrive in better form, with 10 points from their last 5 games against Fulham's 8; Aston Villa have scored 5 and conceded 6 in 4 home games.
- In the last 6 meetings Aston Villa won 5, Fulham won 1 and 0 were drawn.
10
FulhamOur pick
Under 2.5 goals
Total goals
Our view 68% · fair 1.48
Both teams to score – No
Both teams to score
Our view 60% · fair 1.66
Aston Villa to win
Aston Villa v Fulham preview
Our model gives Aston Villa a 36% chance of winning, with the draw at 31% and Fulham at 33%. Aston Villa sit 9th on 11 points, while Fulham are 15th on 8. It looks a tight contest; the expected goals of 1.0–1.0 make 1–0 the single most likely scoreline. We lean towards a lower-scoring game, with under 2.5 goals at 68%.
Expected line-ups
Based on each team's starting XI from their last match. Confirmed line-ups replace this about an hour before kick-off.
Missing players
Aston Villa
No reported absences.
Fulham
No reported absences.
Team news
Aston Villa
- Who has made Troy's Premier League team of the week?
BBC Sport · 25 Oct
- 'Emery masterclass!' - Villa fan reacts to win over Man City
BBC Sport · 24 Oct
- From Chelsea reject to Watkins 'upgrade' - Jackson makes fast Villa start
BBC Sport · 24 Oct
- Emery's Villa 2.0 reboot restores optimism before Man City meeting
BBC Sport · 23 Oct
Fulham
- Who has made Troy's Premier League team of the week?
BBC Sport · 25 Oct
Form
Aston Villa
9th · 11 pts
At home: 5 scored, 6 conceded in 4 games
Fulham
15th · 8 pts
Away: 2 scored, 3 conceded in 4 games
Head to head
Aston Villa have won 5 of the last 6 meetings, Fulham 1.
5
Aston Villa wins
0
Draws
1
Fulham wins
- 25 Apr 2026Fulham1–0Aston Villa
- 28 Sept 2025Aston Villa
Match stories
How could this game go?
Pick how the game unfolds and see how common bets change if it does.
Aston Villa score in the first 15 minutes.
This happens in about 1 in 6.8 games like this (15%).
If Aston Villa score early…
- Aston Villa to win68% if so
▲ 32 pts · normally 36%
- Both teams to score58% if so
▲ 18 pts · normally 40%
- Over 2.5 goals54% if so
▲ 21 pts · normally 32%
Percentages assume the story happens, and it may not. These are not tips.
18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Check a bet
Build a bet and type the odds you're offered. We'll tell you how often it really comes off — and whether the price is fair.
Estimates from our model, not guarantees. Decimal odds (e.g. 5/2 = 3.50). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Other Matchday 9 predictions
Fair odds
| Aston Villa | 36% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.24 |
| Fulham | 33% | 3.05 |
Fair odds are the inverse of our probability. A bookmaker price above them suggests value.
