Live data · API-Football · Season 2026/27 · fetched 26 Oct, 23:20
Newcastle v Evertonprediction & betting tips
Monday 2 November at 20:00, St. James' Park
Kick-off
Newcastle
EvertonOur verdict
Newcastle win
Most likely score 1–1
43%
probability
Prediction & betting tips
- Newcastle are 43% favourites in our model, creating an expected 1.4 goals to 1.1.
- Newcastle arrive in better form, with 6 points from their last 5 games against Everton's 5; Newcastle have scored 6 and conceded 6 in 4 home games.
- In the last 6 meetings Newcastle won 1, Everton won 3 and 2 were drawn.
11
EvertonOur pick
Newcastle or draw
Double chance
Our view 70% · fair 1.43
Under 2.5 goals
Total goals
Our view 55% · fair 1.82
Both teams to score – No
Both teams to score
Newcastle v Everton preview
Our model gives Newcastle a 43% chance of winning, with the draw at 27% and Everton at 30%. Newcastle sit 8th on 11 points, while Everton are 11th on 10. It looks a tight contest; the expected goals of 1.4–1.1 make 1–1 the single most likely scoreline. We lean towards a lower-scoring game, with under 2.5 goals at 55%.
Expected line-ups
Based on each team's starting XI from their last match. Confirmed line-ups replace this about an hour before kick-off.
Missing players
Newcastle
No reported absences.
Everton
No reported absences.
Team news
Newcastle
- Who has made Troy's Premier League team of the week?
BBC Sport · 25 Oct
- 'This is Newcastle 2.0' after squad rebuild
BBC Sport · 25 Oct
- What is going on at 'chaotic' Newcastle?
BBC Sport · 23 Oct
- Football legend's fan tributes to go on display
BBC Sport · 22 Oct
Everton
- Everton fan reacts to 'disappointing' defeat to Arsenal
BBC Sport · 25 Oct
Form
Newcastle
8th · 11 pts
At home: 6 scored, 6 conceded in 4 games
Everton
11th · 10 pts
Away: 3 scored, 5 conceded in 4 games
Head to head
Everton have won 3 of the last 6 meetings, Newcastle 1, with 2 draws.
1
Newcastle wins
2
Draws
3
Everton wins
- 12 Aug 2026Newcastle1–3Everton
- 28 Feb 2026Newcastle
Match stories
How could this game go?
Pick how the game unfolds and see how common bets change if it does.
Newcastle score in the first 15 minutes.
This happens in about 1 in 5.3 games like this (19%).
If Newcastle score early…
- Newcastle to win70% if so
▲ 27 pts · normally 43%
- Over 2.5 goals65% if so
▲ 20 pts · normally 45%
- Both teams to score63% if so
▲ 13 pts · normally 50%
Percentages assume the story happens, and it may not. These are not tips.
18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Check a bet
Build a bet and type the odds you're offered. We'll tell you how often it really comes off — and whether the price is fair.
Estimates from our model, not guarantees. Decimal odds (e.g. 5/2 = 3.50). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Other Matchday 9 predictions
Fair odds
| Newcastle | 43% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.73 |
| Everton | 30% | 3.33 |
Fair odds are the inverse of our probability. A bookmaker price above them suggests value.
