Live data · API-Football · Season 2026/27 · fetched 26 Oct, 22:19
Coventry v Sunderlandprediction & betting tips
Saturday 31 October at 15:00, Coventry Building Society Arena
Kick-off
Coventry
SunderlandOur verdict
Coventry win
Most likely score 1–1
39%
probability
Prediction & betting tips
- Coventry are 39% favourites in our model, creating an expected 1.7 goals to 1.6.
- Coventry arrive in better form, with 6 points from their last 5 games against Sunderland's 1; Coventry have scored 4 and conceded 8 in 4 home games.
- In the last 6 meetings Coventry won 2, Sunderland won 1 and 3 were drawn.
11
SunderlandOur pick
Over 2.5 goals
Total goals
Our view 64% · fair 1.57
Both teams to score – Yes
Both teams to score
Our view 65% · fair 1.54
Coventry to win
Coventry v Sunderland preview
Our model gives Coventry a 39% chance of winning, with the draw at 23% and Sunderland at 38%. Coventry sit 19th on 6 points, while Sunderland are 20th on 5. It looks a tight contest; the expected goals of 1.7–1.6 make 1–1 the single most likely scoreline. Goals look likely, with over 2.5 at 64%.
Expected line-ups
Based on each team's starting XI from their last match. Confirmed line-ups replace this about an hour before kick-off.
Missing players
Coventry
No reported absences.
Sunderland
No reported absences.
Team news
Coventry
No recent headlines.
Sunderland
- 'Two points dropped' says Sunderland fan after Leeds draw
BBC Sport · 25 Oct
- 'Chris Rigg shot a metaphor for Sunderland's season'
BBC Sport · 23 Oct
- Positives for Le Bris despite Sunderland's wastefulness
BBC Sport · 22 Oct
- Prem panel backs Struijk red card even though FA overturned suspension
BBC Sport · 21 Oct
Form
Coventry
19th · 6 pts
At home: 4 scored, 8 conceded in 4 games
Sunderland
20th · 5 pts
Away: 5 scored, 10 conceded in 4 games
Head to head
Coventry have won 2 of the last 6 meetings, Sunderland 1, with 3 draws.
2
Coventry wins
3
Draws
1
Sunderland wins
- 13 May 2025Sunderland1–1Coventry
- 9 May 2025Coventry
Match stories
How could this game go?
Pick how the game unfolds and see how common bets change if it does.
Coventry score in the first 15 minutes.
This happens in about 1 in 4.7 games like this (21%).
If Coventry score early…
- Over 2.5 goals79% if so
▲ 16 pts · normally 64%
- Both teams to score77% if so
▲ 12 pts · normally 65%
- Coventry to win63% if so
▲ 24 pts · normally 39%
Percentages assume the story happens, and it may not. These are not tips.
18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Check a bet
Build a bet and type the odds you're offered. We'll tell you how often it really comes off — and whether the price is fair.
Estimates from our model, not guarantees. Decimal odds (e.g. 5/2 = 3.50). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Other Matchday 9 predictions
Fair odds
| Coventry | 39% | 2.54 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.34 |
| Sunderland | 38% | 2.66 |
Fair odds are the inverse of our probability. A bookmaker price above them suggests value.
