Live data · API-Football · Season 2026/27 · fetched 26 Oct, 22:19
Bournemouth v Leedsprediction & betting tips
Saturday 31 October at 15:00, Vitality Stadium
Kick-off
Bournemouth
LeedsOur verdict
Bournemouth win
Most likely score 1–0
38%
probability
Prediction & betting tips
- Bournemouth are 38% favourites in our model, creating an expected 1.0 goals to 0.9.
- Bournemouth arrive in better form, with 7 points from their last 5 games against Leeds's 6; Bournemouth have scored 5 and conceded 4 in 4 home games.
- In the last 6 meetings Bournemouth won 1, Leeds won 3 and 2 were drawn.
10
LeedsOur pick
Under 2.5 goals
Total goals
Our view 69% · fair 1.44
Both teams to score – No
Both teams to score
Our view 62% · fair 1.62
Bournemouth to win
Bournemouth v Leeds preview
Our model gives Bournemouth a 38% chance of winning, with the draw at 31% and Leeds at 31%. Bournemouth sit 13th on 9 points, while Leeds are 7th on 11. It looks a tight contest; the expected goals of 1.0–0.9 make 1–0 the single most likely scoreline. We lean towards a lower-scoring game, with under 2.5 goals at 69%.
Expected line-ups
Based on each team's starting XI from their last match. Confirmed line-ups replace this about an hour before kick-off.
Missing players
Bournemouth
No reported absences.
Leeds
No reported absences.
Team news
Bournemouth
- Who has made Troy's Premier League team of the week?
BBC Sport · 25 Oct
- Bournemouth fan buzzing after 3-0 win over Man Utd
BBC Sport · 25 Oct
- Fernandes left out - Man Utd hammered, Bournemouth brilliant - how they rated
BBC Sport · 25 Oct
- 'I've never been so proud of Bournemouth'
BBC Sport · 23 Oct
Leeds
- Leeds fan: ‘It was screaming out for two up top’
BBC Sport · 25 Oct
Form
Bournemouth
13th · 9 pts
At home: 5 scored, 4 conceded in 4 games
Leeds
7th · 11 pts
Away: 3 scored, 3 conceded in 4 games
Head to head
Leeds have won 3 of the last 6 meetings, Bournemouth 1, with 2 draws.
1
Bournemouth wins
2
Draws
3
Leeds wins
- 22 Apr 2026Bournemouth2–2Leeds
- 27 Sept 2025Leeds
Match stories
How could this game go?
Pick how the game unfolds and see how common bets change if it does.
Bournemouth score in the first 15 minutes.
This happens in about 1 in 6.8 games like this (15%).
Real record, 2026/27: Bournemouth led at half-time 4 times and won 1.
If Bournemouth score early…
- Bournemouth to win70% if so
▲ 32 pts · normally 38%
- Both teams to score56% if so
▲ 17 pts · normally 38%
- Over 2.5 goals52% if so
▲ 21 pts · normally 31%
Percentages assume the story happens, and it may not. These are not tips.
18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Check a bet
Build a bet and type the odds you're offered. We'll tell you how often it really comes off — and whether the price is fair.
Estimates from our model, not guarantees. Decimal odds (e.g. 5/2 = 3.50). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Other Matchday 9 predictions
Fair odds
| Bournemouth | 38% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.19 |
| Leeds | 31% | 3.24 |
Fair odds are the inverse of our probability. A bookmaker price above them suggests value.
