Live data · API-Football · Season 2026/27 · fetched 26 Oct, 23:20
Liverpool v Arsenalprediction & betting tips
Sunday 1 November at 16:30, Anfield
Kick-off
Liverpool
ArsenalOur verdict
Arsenal win
Most likely score 0–1
40%
probability
Prediction & betting tips
- Arsenal are 40% favourites in our model, creating an expected 1.1 goals to 0.9.
- Arsenal arrive in better form, with 12 points from their last 5 games against Liverpool's 10; Liverpool have scored 4 and conceded 5 in 4 home games.
- In the last 6 meetings Liverpool won 2, Arsenal won 1 and 3 were drawn.
01
ArsenalOur pick
Under 2.5 goals
Total goals
Our view 66% · fair 1.52
Both teams to score – No
Both teams to score
Our view 59% · fair 1.70
Arsenal to win
Match result
Liverpool v Arsenal preview
Our model gives Liverpool a 30% chance of winning, with the draw at 30% and Arsenal at 40%. Liverpool sit 4th on 15 points, while Arsenal are 2nd on 21. It looks a tight contest; the expected goals of 0.9–1.1 make 0–1 the single most likely scoreline. We lean towards a lower-scoring game, with under 2.5 goals at 66%.
Expected line-ups
Based on each team's starting XI from their last match. Confirmed line-ups replace this about an hour before kick-off.
Missing players
Liverpool
No reported absences.
Arsenal
No reported absences.
Team news
Liverpool
- 'I've fallen in love with a loan player' says Liverpool fan
BBC Sport · 25 Oct
- Isak finally living up to price tag as Liverpool patience rewarded
BBC Sport · 25 Oct
- Isak, Barcola and Wirtz turn up - player ratings for Liverpool v Brighton
BBC Sport · 25 Oct
- Why are Liverpool struggling for Premier League goals?
BBC Sport · 25 Oct
Form
Liverpool
4th · 15 pts
At home: 4 scored, 5 conceded in 4 games
Arsenal
2nd · 21 pts
Away: 4 scored, 3 conceded in 4 games
Head to head
Liverpool have won 2 of the last 6 meetings, Arsenal 1, with 3 draws.
2
Liverpool wins
3
Draws
1
Arsenal wins
- 8 Jan 2026Arsenal0–0Liverpool
- 31 Aug 2025Liverpool
Match stories
How could this game go?
Pick how the game unfolds and see how common bets change if it does.
Arsenal score in the first 15 minutes.
This happens in about 1 in 6.3 games like this (16%).
If Arsenal score early…
- Arsenal to win71% if so
▲ 31 pts · normally 40%
- Both teams to score57% if so
▲ 16 pts · normally 41%
- Over 2.5 goals55% if so
▲ 21 pts · normally 34%
Percentages assume the story happens, and it may not. These are not tips.
18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Check a bet
Build a bet and type the odds you're offered. We'll tell you how often it really comes off — and whether the price is fair.
Estimates from our model, not guarantees. Decimal odds (e.g. 5/2 = 3.50). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Other Matchday 9 predictions
Fair odds
| Liverpool | 30% | 3.32 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.32 |
| Arsenal | 40% | 2.52 |
Fair odds are the inverse of our probability. A bookmaker price above them suggests value.
